General

More Car Shoppers Consider Toyota, Even When Toyota Is Low on Cars

Blue 2023 Toyota RAV4 PrimeToyota dealers are low on cars. All the same, more American car shoppers consider a Toyota than any other brand. Fully 35% of American car shoppers looked closely at buying a Toyota product last quarter, even though Toyota dealers consistently had among the lowest inventory of any car brand.

Low inventory drives high prices. In fact, Toyota has begun to publicly discuss raising prices on its products.

The numbers come from Kelley Blue Book’s third quarter Brand Watch survey — a consumer perception survey that also weaves in shopping behavior to determine how a brand or model stacks up with its segment competitors on a dozen factors key to a consumer’s buying decision.

Kelley Blue Book produces separate reports covering luxury car shoppers and those shopping for hybrids and electric cars. We expect to publish those figures shortly.

Toyota’s Lead Keeps Growing Even When They’re Low on Inventory

Toyota has held the top spot for most of the past five years. So its win is unsurprising in some ways.

The Japanese automaker widened its lead in the third quarter. It now leads second-place Ford by 5%. Chevrolet came in just behind Ford at 29%. Honda was the only other automaker close at 24%, followed by a gaggle of brands in the 9% to 15% range.

Toyota’s lead is surprising because the world’s largest automaker has been hit hard by the ongoing microchip shortage, COVID-19-related factory shutdowns in Asia, and other supply-chain challenges. Toyota dealers ended October with an average of 10 days’ supply of cars to sell, compared to 28 days for second-place Ford and 26 days for General Motors.

Before 2020, it was common for automakers to try to keep at least six weeks’ supply of vehicles in stock.

The number may also represent missed opportunities for many buyers. The supply crisis is not evenly distributed. Automakers with limited supplies are still selling cars for close to sticker price, while some with more cars to sell have returned to heavier discounts.

The Top Ten Most Considered Brands

Rank Brand Percentage of Shoppers Who Considered It
1 Toyota 35%
2 Ford 30%
3 Chevrolet 29%
4 Honda 24%
5 Hyundai 15%
6 Kia 13%
7 Nissan 13%
8 GMC 12%
9 Jeep 12%
10 Subaru 12%

 

High Gas Prices Still Driving Some Decisions

High gas prices have driven more shoppers to consider hybrids, electric cars, and even old-fashioned sedans in 2022.

Quarterly consideration growth for the RAV4 Hybrid soared by 21%, at least partly due to high gas prices. It is consistently the most-shopped electrified vehicle and returned to the Top 10 most-shopped of all non-luxury vehicles in the quarter after dropping off at the end of last year. In addition, the Camry, the regular RAV4, and the Tacoma ranked in the Top 10.

Shopping consideration for cars has now rebounded to pre-pandemic levels. SUVs and trucks still dominate, but shoppers have been taking a new look at sedans and coupes. Of all non-luxury shoppers, 40% considered a car. A year ago, less than a third considered a car.

Still, SUVs remained the most popular vehicle style. Of all non-luxury shoppers, two-thirds consider an SUV, a level that has held steady for some time. Higher gas prices have shoppers looking at smaller, more fuel-efficient SUVs dominated by Honda and Toyota. Honda CR-V, Toyota RAV4, and RAV4 Hybrid were the most-shopped SUVs, in that order.

The Top 10 Most-Considered Models:

Rank Model
1 Ford F-150
2 Chevy Silverado
3 Honda Accord
4 Honda Civic
5 Honda CR-V
6 Toyota Camry
7 Toyota RAV4
8 Toyota Tacoma
9 Toyota RAV4 Hybrid
10 Chevy Tahoe

 

Affordability, Fuel Efficiency Growing More Important

The survey also asks shoppers to rank the factors that drive their decision-making. Normally, we see very little shift from quarter to quarter.

Reliability retained the top spot but slipped a bit in importance — possibly because the reliability of most vehicles has been improving in recent years so the risk of buying an unreliable car is fairly low.

Affordability grew in importance as car prices soared and recession threats grew in the third quarter. Fuel efficiency rose in importance, narrowly missing the top five.

Considerations Most Important To New Car Shoppers

Rank Consideration
1 Durability/Reliability
2 Safety
3 Affordability
4 Driving Comfort
5 Driving Performance